Research on transmission and distribution loss prediction based on Grey-Markov model

ChaoXin Zhang; JunChao Zhang; JiHao Chang; KenYuan Fan

doi:10.1117/12.2618759

29 November 2021 Research on transmission and distribution loss prediction based on Grey-Markov model

ChaoXin Zhang, JunChao Zhang, JiHao Chang, KenYuan Fan

Proceedings Volume 12080, 4th International Symposium on Power Electronics and Control Engineering (ISPECE 2021); 1208005 (2021) https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2618759
Event: 4th International Symposium on Power Electronics and Control Engineering (ISPECE 2021), 2021, Nanchang, China

Abstract

The Grey model GM(1,1) is always used in dynamic prediction of grey system. But actually, it is difficult for transmission and distribution loss to grow exactly as GM(1,1), which makes loss of prediction accuracy and limits its application in reality. By combining GM(1,1) with the Markov model, we predict the transmission and distribution loss. The result indicates: the Grey-Markov model can improve the prediction accuracy of transmission and distribution loss.

Citation Download Citation

ChaoXin Zhang, JunChao Zhang, JiHao Chang, and KenYuan Fan "Research on transmission and distribution loss prediction based on Grey-Markov model", Proc. SPIE 12080, 4th International Symposium on Power Electronics and Control Engineering (ISPECE 2021), 1208005 (29 November 2021); https://doi.org/10.1117/12.2618759

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